The annual chance of having one or more magnitude 5 or greater aftershock will remain above  25 percent for up to a decade or more. To the north of Puerto Rico, North America subducts beneath the Caribbean plate along the Puerto Rico trench. Scenario Three (least likely):  3 percent chance [same as yesterday]. Se espera que la tasa de réplicas disminuya, pero aún pueden sentir tales temblores semanalmente entre 1.5 años y una década. Hours after a deadly 6.4 magnitude earthquake rocked Puerto Rico, people on the southern coast fear more homes could collapse and most … (Public domain. People in the area affected by the aftershocks may feel shaking from magnitude 3 aftershocks on a daily basis for the next 2 to 6 months. “USGS and our partners at the Puerto Rico Seismic Network began deploying additional seismic stations shortly after the mainshock. "After the devastating Hurricane Maria occurred in Puerto Rico, the federal government invested in rebuilding damaged seismic stations in the region," said USGS Director Jim Reilly. Staying at the El San Juan. Los resultados en este informe se basan en el comportamiento actual (a partir del 17 de enero de 2020) de esta secuencia de réplicas y es posible que deba modificarse si ese comportamiento cambia, incluso si ocurre un terremoto más grande. [+] Puerto Rico on January 6, 2020. [39] By January 10, two additional people had died of medical conditions attributed to the effects of the earthquakes. [6] The largest and most damaging of this sequence was a magnitude 6.4 Mw, which occurred on January 7 at 04:24 AST (08:24 UTC), with a maximum felt intensity of VII (Very strong) on the Modified Mercalli intensity scale. [6] A Mw 5.4 earthquake occurred on May 2 at 11:13 UTC in the same area as the M 6.4 event and with a similar focal mechanism. January 7, 2020 Acting FEMA Administrator Pete Gaynor has been in constant communication and coordination with Puerto Rico Governor Wanda Vazquez. Our results do not imply a change in the risk of earthquakes in other parts of Puerto Rico. "El reciente gran terremoto de Puerto Rico y sus réplicas fueron destructivas e inquietantes para la gente en la isla", dijo el director del USGS Jim Reilly. That same day, she also made available $130 million in aid to the municipalities affected. Dentro del próximo año, hay una probabilidad del 5-10 por ciento de un terremoto de magnitud 7 o mayor. Based on our aftershock forecasts, USGS has modeled three possible scenarios for this earthquake sequence as it evolves over the next month. The January 6 and 7, 2020, M 5.8 and M 6.4 earthquakes offshore of southwest Puerto Rico occurred as the result of oblique strike slip faulting at shallow depth. [18] The $5 million emergency declaration monies were to be spent on emergency services only. Video titulado “Puerto Rico Earthquake Swarm: December 2019 – January 2020” producido por el Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PacificTWC) y publicado en su canal de YouTube el 2 de febrero de 2020. The USGS aftershock forecast indicates there is a 3% chance of a magnitude 6.4 or larger aftershock over the next 7 days. [26], Puerto Rico governor Wanda Vazquez declared a state of emergency on January 7[27] and mobilized the Puerto Rico National Guard. It is highly likely that there will be many smaller earthquakes (M>3) over the next 1 Week. … (Eric Rojas / Getty Images) January 24, 2020 by Armand Vervaeck. The proximity of these events to Puerto Rico, and their shallow depth, mean that dozens of these events have been felt on land, though with the exception of the latest two earthquakes, the M 6.4 and the M 5.8, none are likely to have caused significant damage. Jan. 2020 . USGS scientists Thomas L. Pratt and Alena L. Leads, along with Dr. Elizabeth Vanacore, associate research professor at University of Puerto Rico, analyze data in earthquake monitoring and recording equipment amid aftershocks across the island's southern coast. More than 8,000 houses have been damaged. Links to forecasts and scenerios (below) will continue to be updated, however, text in this story will not be updated unless there is significant change to the aftershock behavior or to the USGS response to the earthquake. [21] To the north the North American Plate is being subducted beneath this microplate along the Puerto Rico Trench. It also became a collection center for items for the earthquake homeless. Full Title: Communications Status Report for Areas Impacted by Puerto Rico Earthquakes January 10, 2020 Bureau(s): Public Safety and Homeland Security, Media Relations Description: Communications status report for areas impacted by earthquakes in Puerto Rico – Jan. 10, 2020. Faults outlined in red have a potential to generate a large earthquake. Puerto Rico Earthquakes & HIPAA Bulletin: January 2020 Limited Waiver of HIPAA Sanctions and Penalties During a Declared Emergency Severe disasters – such as the earthquakes in Puerto Rico – impose additional challenges on health care providers. Based on our aftershock forecasts, USGS has modeled three possible scenarios for this earthquake sequence as it evolves over the next month. While this is a small probability, if such an earthquake were to occur, it would have serious impacts on communities nearby. Copy link . Among the structures damaged by this aftershock were the Ponce Servicios municipal government building,[56] Museo de la Masacre de Ponce,[57] Residencia Armstrong-Poventud,[57] and Casa Vives. The figure above shows the distribution of seismicity southwest of Puerto Rico in December 2019 and January 2020. [15] Consideration was being given the building a brand new plant instead of repairing the damaged plant. Several earthquakes of M <5 occurred over the next few days, followed by a Mw 5.8 event at 10:32 UTC on January 6. Based on our aftershock forecasts, USGS has modeled three possible scenarios for this earthquake sequence as it evolves over the next month. About 7,500 people have left their homes for other kinds of shelter, including, in some cases, cars and tents. The January 7, 2020, M 6.4 earthquake offshore of southwest Puerto Rico occurred as the result of oblique normal faulting at shallow depth. Puerto Rico Earthquakes & HIPAA Bulletin: January 2020 Limited Waiver of HIPAA Sanctions and Penalties During a Declared Emergency Severe disasters – such as the earthquakes in Puerto Rico – impose additional challenges on health care providers. Minor earthquake - Guanica, Puerto Rico - January 24, 2020. Based on our aftershock forecasts, USGS has modeled three possible scenarios for this earthquake sequence as it evolves over the next month. [7] At least one person was killed and several others were injured. It is very unlikely the aftershocks will cease completely within the next month. Today's forecast [as of 03:24:26 EST] estimates that over the next 1 Week there is a 4 percent chance of one or more aftershocks that are larger than magnitude 6.4. The damages forced the closing of several downtown streets. For example, according to its mayor, in the town of Yauco alone, there were 3,200 homes with some degree of damage. “Puerto Rico’s recent large earthquake and its aftershocks were destructive and unsettling to people on the island,” said USGS Director Jim Reilly. [8][9], A 5.8 Mw earthquake the previous day caused the destruction of a natural arch, a tourist attraction at Punta Ventana in Guayanilla. 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